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An Agent with the Right to Pay: Authority, Consent and Liability

Asking an agent to find a product is already familiar. Letting it buy without another confirmation takes things further: software now picks a merchant, assembles an order and spends money. How do we tell it exactly what is allowed, who checks the limits, and which records will help us work out what happened if the purchase goes wrong?

Take a simple instruction: buy green shoes in the right size for no more than €120 including shipping. The agent might stay within budget but choose an uncomfortable pair. It might exceed the limit or order the wrong colour. Or it might place the right order and the merchant sends the wrong item. The buyer has an order problem in every case, but the causes — and grounds for getting money back — differ.

Using this example, we will look at how a mandate records permission, how checkout differs from payment, when fresh human consent is needed, and what to check before a charge. We will separate what AP2 and payment network rules already describe from what companies have only promised. The goal is useful freedom for the agent, with clear limits and a way to establish who made a mistake.

9 October 2026≈ 21 minprimary sources ↓
01

Five stages: actions and authority

A purchase has five useful steps: find offers, compare them, agree terms, accept the seller’s offer and pay. Agreeing to buy and allowing money to leave an account are separate actions. An agent can perform them for a person or company. We therefore need a record of what it was allowed to buy, from whom and for how much.

For example, the US law E-SIGN §7001(h) allows contracts formed through electronic agents. The agent’s actions must legally count as those of the person or company bound by the contract. This does not make an owner responsible for every model error: permissions, contract terms and applicable law still matter. A digital signature helps check who signed a document and whether it changed afterwards. It does not prove that the person understood every consequence.

01 · Actions, authority and contracting parties

Agent actions and human authority

  1. Search

    Gather

    offers

  2. Compare

    Evaluate

    terms

  3. Negotiate

    Clarify

    the offer

  4. Accept

    Authority

    to contract

  5. Pay

    Authority

    to charge

The party is a person or organisation. A mandate records authority.

Agent actions and human authorityAgent actions and human authoritySearchGatheroffersCompareEvaluatetermsNegotiateClarifythe offerAcceptAuthorityto contractPayAuthorityto chargeAuthority to contract ≠ authority to chargeCheck who allowed the agent to do whatThe party is a person or organisation. A mandate records authority.

E-SIGN — §7001(h): legal attribution of acts · AP2 Checkout Mandate — Usage; Constraints: merchants and line items · AP2 Payment Mandate — Constraints: payees, amount, budget, recurrence

Stage
Search
Action
Gather offers
Legal significance
Gathering offers does not itself mean buying
Evidence
Instruction; no universal signature requirementE-SIGN §7001(h)
Stage
Comparison
Action
Evaluate price and terms
Legal significance
Selection is not necessarily acceptance
Evidence
Offer snapshot and selection criteria
Stage
Negotiation
Action
Clarify terms
Legal significance
Effects depend on conduct and applicable law
Evidence
Offer and constraint history
Stage
Acceptance
Action
Accept within delegated authority
Legal significance
The contract binds a person or company if the agent’s acts legally count as theirs
Evidence
AP2 Checkout: merchant-signed order dataE-SIGN §7001(h)AP2 Checkout
Stage
Payment
Action
Present payment authority
Legal significance
Payment authorisation is distinct from the purchase contract
Evidence
AP2 Payment; consent under applicable payment rulesAP2 PaymentPSD2

The 4 August 2026 Amazon v. Perplexity ruling concerns website access under the CFAA — the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, a US law covering computer misuse, including access without permission. On page 17, the court limits its conclusion to that access dispute. It does not decide who pays for a wrong product or when a buyer gets a refund. This article asks a simpler question: how do we check that the agent did what the person actually allowed?

02

Why now: the 2025–2026 timeline

Changes in status matter more than the number of announcements. A specification establishes a message format. A programme announcement signals an intention to launch. A completed purchase demonstrates a particular integration. None of these events alone measures market size.

02 · Four events with different evidence status

Timeline: events have different status

  1. 09.2025

    AP2

    Announcement: Intent / Cart / Payment

    v0.2: Checkout + Payment

  2. 04.2026

    Amex

    Future protection announced

    Full terms pending

  3. 06.2026

    Worldline / ING / Mastercard

    Approved ticket purchase

    One integration, not the market

  4. 09.2026

    EMVCo

    Draft open for comment

    Not adopted requirements

A specification, announcement and one purchase do not measure market size.

Timeline: events have different statusTimeline: events have different status09.2025AP2Announcement: Intent / Cart / Paymentv0.2: Checkout + Payment04.2026AmexFuture protection announcedFull terms pending06.2026Worldline / ING / MastercardApproved ticket purchaseOne integration, not the market09.2026EMVCoDraft open for commentNot adopted requirementsA specification, announcement and one purchase do not measure market size.

Google Cloud · AP2 announcement — 17 Sep 2025, How it works: historical intent → cart → payment sequence · AP2 v0.2 — Mandates: two types, open and closed forms · American Express · Agentic Commerce — Agent Purchase Protection; footnotes: future programme and eligibility · Worldline / ING / Mastercard — 2 Jun 2026: ticket purchase with human approval · EMVCo · Agentic payments — 1 Sep 2026: draft, comments by 30 Sep

In September 2025, AP2 was described in terms of Intent, Cart and Payment. Version 0.2 uses two types: Checkout and Payment. Historical terminology must not be inserted into a current schema comparison. Amex announced Agent Purchase Protection in April 2026; at the 27 September recheck, its page still described future protection and promised further terms.

On 2 June, Worldline, ING and Mastercard reported a concert-ticket purchase in the Netherlands, approved by the customer before completion. It is a useful production example of an approved purchase. It does not demonstrate delegation of an open budget for an unspecified sequence of purchases.

In September, EMVCo put a technical framework out for comment. KYA and agentic transaction indicators appear as possible further work. UK Treasury and Bank of Russia consultations address different parts of the problem. Their deadlines are listed separately below: closing comments is not the same as bringing rules into force.

03

The mandate: what the person allows

A mandate records delegated authority. In AP2 v0.2, Checkout authorises checkout and Payment authorises payment. Each type has an open form constraining a future action and a closed form for a specific action. They are not three mandatory documents in a chain. Relating Checkout and Payment connects commercial content with payment authority without determining the outcome of a legal dispute.

03 · Checkout and Payment: from permission to action

Two types of authority × two forms

  1. Checkout · what we buy

    Open: listed shoes, merchant A or B

    Closed: selected pair, order from A

  2. Payment · how we pay

    Open: up to €120, allowed recipients

    Closed: €110 to recipient A for this order

One-off: one operation. Recurring: frequency, usage count and budget.

One-off or recurring use is a separate condition.

Two types of authority × two formsTwo types of authority × two formsOpen · permitted choicesClosed · a specific actionCheckout · what we buyListed shoesMerchant A or BSelected pairMerchant A’s signed orderPayment · how we payUp to €120Allowed recipients€110 to recipient ALinked to this orderOne-off: one operation · Recurring: frequency, count, budgetOne-off or recurring use is a separate condition.

AP2 v0.2 — Mandates: two types, open and closed forms · AP2 Checkout Mandate — Usage; Constraints: merchants and line items · AP2 Payment Mandate — Constraints: payees, amount, budget, recurrence

Checkout answers “what are we buying?” Its open form lists permitted items and merchants; its closed form binds a specific merchant-signed order. Payment answers “how are we paying?” Limits on amounts and recipients become permission for a particular payment. A closed Payment includes the amount, currency, recipient, payment instrument and a link to the order. Ordering the right shoes does not permit any charge, and permission to spend €120 does not permit buying any item.

Open does not mean “anything can change before approval”: the agent must stay within agreed limits. Closed records the chosen action. For an autonomous purchase, the agent can prepare it within existing authority without another human click. The AP2 autonomous flow describes this transition.

One-off and recurring use are a separate question. Payment’s Agent Recurrence constraint sets frequency and an optional maximum number of uses; a budget caps total spending. For example, “pay for this service up to €20 monthly, at most 12 times” can permit different amounts. Each payment still gets a specific amount and recipient. Recurring therefore need not mean an identical charge every time, and closed is not a name for a fixed schedule. Checkout continues to govern the items and order separately.

Signing roles cannot be reduced to “the human signs the open mandate and the agent signs everything else”. The agent prepares content; a trusted surface presents it to the user; the merchant signs the checkout object included in a closed Checkout. Authorisation can use a user credential or a trusted agent provider. The verifier must validate the relevant trust chain and constraints. A TAP request signature authenticates the agent and request context; it does not substitute for cardholder consent.

04 · Author framework: field → implementation → gap

Six fields: an author framework, not a shared standard

  1. Amount

    Payment → amount range / budget

  2. Item / merchant

    Checkout → line items / allowed merchants

  3. Expiry

    AP2 → exp; Visa → instruction expiry

  4. Mode

    Checkout / Payment → open / closed

  5. Trade-offs

    Checkout → acceptable items, not “best”

  6. Revocation

    Visa → cancellation; no shared mechanism

AP2 v0.2: two types, Checkout and Payment; each open or closed.

Six fields: an author framework, not a shared standardSix fields: an author framework, not a shared standardAmountPayment → amount range / budgetItem / merchantCheckout → line items / allowed merchantsExpiryAP2 → exp; Visa → instruction expiryModeCheckout / Payment → open / closedTrade-offsCheckout → acceptable items, not “best”RevocationVisa → cancellation; no shared mechanismAP2 v0.2: two types, Checkout and Payment; each open or closed.

AP2 v0.2 — Mandates: two types, open and closed forms · AP2 Checkout Mandate — Usage; Constraints: merchants and line items · AP2 Payment Mandate — Constraints: payees, amount, budget, recurrence · Visa Core Rules, 18.04.2026 — §1.7.6.1: issuer → acquirer; §4.1.24.3–11: agentic payments

Framework field
Amount
Implementation
AP2 Payment
Mechanism
Amount range / budget
Boundary
Check currency, aggregate spend and concurrent chargesAP2 Payment
Framework field
Merchants and items
Implementation
AP2 Checkout + Payment
Mechanism
Allowed merchants / line items; allowed payees
Boundary
Order merchant and payment recipient have different identifiersAP2 CheckoutAP2 Payment
Framework field
Time window
Implementation
AP2; Visa
Mechanism
exp; explicitly expiring instruction
Boundary
Expiry does not reverse an executed chargeAP2 CheckoutVisa
Framework field
Mode
Implementation
AP2
Mechanism
Open / closed for both types
Boundary
Forms of authority, not three sequential mandatesAP2 v0.2AP2 Authorization
Framework field
Trade-offs
Implementation
AP2 Checkout
Mechanism
Acceptable items and quantities
Boundary
“Most comfortable” needs explicit criteria; no universal semantic fieldAP2 Checkout
Framework field
Revocation
Implementation
Visa; application control
Mechanism
Visa rules, §4.1.24.9: cancelling a repeated instruction
Boundary
No common cross-scheme revocation mechanism; AP2 does not fully specify oneVisaAP2 Implementation

The six fields are my design framework: amount, merchants and items, time window, mode, acceptable trade-offs and revocation. Protocols cover them unevenly. Expiry and revocation are particularly different: a short lifetime narrows the risk window but does not immediately stop an already issued permission. Revoking a token also does not reverse a completed payment.

Before enabling autonomy, the interface should expose exceptions as well as the budget: whether a substitute model is allowed, whether shipping counts toward the cap, and whether an instruction can be extended without fresh consent. Where the specification has no suitable field, the application must either enforce a separate verifiable constraint or omit that guarantee from its promise.

05

Who pays for the mistake

“Who pays?” can mean an issuer’s obligation to an acquirer, a merchant’s obligation to a buyer, a payment provider’s duty to its customer or a developer’s duty to its client. One reimbursement arrow cannot represent them all. Visa rules, §1.7.6.1 requires payment to an acquirer for a valid transaction. It is an interparticipant settlement rule, not a promise to compensate a buyer for an agent’s selection error. Section 4.1.24.10 of Visa’s network rules allocates cardholder responsibility; private rules do not displace applicable mandatory rights.

06 · Network settlement and buyer claims

Two distinct monetary obligations

  1. Visa network settlement

    Issuer → acquirer

    §1.7.6.1: a valid transaction

  2. Buyer’s claim

    To merchant / payment provider

    Grounds, evidence, procedure

  3. Amex: future protection

    Eligible card and registered agent

    Deviation from authenticated intent

Amex is a separate future programme, not the agent provider in this diagram.

Two distinct monetary obligationsTwo distinct monetary obligationsVisa network settlementIssuer → acquirer§1.7.6.1: a valid transactionBuyer’s claimTo merchant / payment providerGrounds, evidence, procedureAmex: future protectionEligible card and registered agentDeviation from authenticated intentAmex is a separate future programme, not the agent provider in this diagram.

Visa Core Rules, 18.04.2026 — §1.7.6.1: issuer → acquirer; §4.1.24.3–11: agentic payments · PSD2 — Arts 64, 72–74, 76–77: consent, evidence, refunds · Regulation E — §1005.11: electronic transfer errors · Regulation Z — §1026.13: open-end credit billing errors · American Express · Agentic Commerce — Agent Purchase Protection; footnotes: future programme and eligibility

Situation
Unauthorised transfer
Applicable framework
Europe: PSD2; US: Reg E for covered transfers
What to establish
Establish consent, authority, notice and exceptions
Possible action
Payment-provider dispute; the word “agent” does not determine the resultPSD2Regulation E, §1005.2(m)
Situation
Wrong item within authority
Applicable framework
Purchase contract, merchant terms; possible payment-dispute grounds
What to establish
Signed checkout and agreed parameters
Possible action
Seek merchant return; selection error is not identical to an unauthorised transferPSD2Regulation ERegulation Z
Situation
Authority exceeded
Applicable framework
Separate review of consent and constraint enforcement
What to establish
Amount, recipient, item, expiry, delegation chain
Possible action
Stop new transactions; establish failure and applicable claimsAP2 AuthorizationPSD2
Situation
Valid Visa transaction
Applicable framework
Obligation between network participants
What to establish
Visa rules, §1.7.6.1: issuer pays acquirer
Possible action
Not buyer reimbursement for an agent errorVisa
Situation
Future Amex protection
Applicable framework
Separate programme announcement
What to establish
Eligible US cards, registered agent, authenticated intent
Possible action
Deviation from intent; try merchant return where possible; full terms pendingAmex

EU PSD2 distinguishes consent, unauthorised transactions and specified refunds of authorised transactions. Articles 76–77 provide conditional refunds for transactions initiated by or through the payee, not a general right to reverse any disappointing purchase. US Reg E covers qualifying electronic transfers and error resolution under §1005.11. Regulation E, §1005.2(m) defines unauthorised transfers. Credit cards require separate consideration of Regulation Z, §1026.13. “No approval means a refund; approval means no remedy” is not an accurate summary of these regimes.

Selecting the wrong item within permitted parameters does not automatically turn a transfer into an unauthorised one. Exceeding authority cannot automatically be classified as an ordinary authorised purchase either: evidence of consent and each participant’s failed obligation matter. Remedies depend on jurisdiction, instrument and facts. The new EU Product Liability Directive is no universal refund route for a mistaken purchase: recital 24 excludes pure economic loss as a standalone damage category, while Article 6 lists covered harm. Its temporal scope matters too.

Amex describes future voluntary protection, not currently available universal reimbursement. Published eligibility includes qualifying US cards, a registered agent, authenticated intent received by Amex and a deviation from it. A merchant return should be attempted where possible; subjective expectations are not equivalent to a verifiable instruction. Full terms and the effective launch still require verification.

The selected sources do not provide a representative body of disputes about buying-agent errors. That does not establish the absence of lawsuits, trivial claim values or rules uniformly hostile to claimants. Other explanations include missing statistical categories, merchant returns resolving complaints, private records or incomplete search. These are observational limits, not an established causal model of the market.

06

Engineering the limits: caps, ledger, disputes, stop

Constraints must be checked outside the model. The agent proposes an operation; a separate executor validates authority, recipient, amount, expiry and remaining budget. A signature without these checks can simply authenticate the wrong action. AP2 treats agents as potentially adversarial, supporting a separation between proposal and execution.

07 · From model proposal to verified execution

Validate the action before charging

  1. 1 · Approval

    Constraint version

    and signature chain

  2. 2 · Proposal

    Order and amount

    from the agent

  3. 3 · Validation

    Recipient, expiry

    and total budget

  4. 4 · Execution

    One payment

    without duplicates

  5. 5 · Evidence

    Order, validation

    and receipt

Author architecture. Revocation stops future actions, not past payments.

Validate the action before chargingValidate the action before charging1 · ApprovalConstraint versionand signaturechain2 · ProposalOrder and amountfrom the agent3 · ValidationRecipient, expiryand total budget4 · ExecutionOne paymentwithout duplicates5 · EvidenceOrder, validationand receiptOutside the mandate → reject executionInside the mandate ≠ a good purchaseAuthor architecture. Revocation stops future actions, not past payments.

AP2 Security — Security and Privacy Considerations: verification outside the model · AP2 Agent Authorization — User Credential / Trusted Agent Provider; Trusted Surface · Visa Core Rules, 18.04.2026 — §1.7.6.1: issuer → acquirer; §4.1.24.3–11: agentic payments

Consider a hypothetical purchase. A person delegates buying one pair of green shoes in size 38 from merchant A or B, for no more than €120 including shipping, before Friday at 18:00. Only listed models are acceptable; a colour substitution is prohibited. This is an architectural example, not a shipped integration or a promised legal outcome.

1. The interface presents constraints and binds approval to their exact version. An AP2 implementation creates the relevant open Checkout and Payment mandates through its chosen authorisation model. The merchant signs a specific checkout; the delegated party closes mandates within the permitted chain. Hashes bind documents to the action, not merely to the model’s explanation.

2. Before charging, the executor validates signatures, expiry, item and recipient identifiers, total including shipping and whether the order has already executed. Budget reservation and duplicate prevention must withstand concurrent requests: two €100 purchases cannot both consume the same €120 balance. An unavailable validator should stop execution rather than turn the constraint into advice.

3. In one outcome, permitted green shoes cost €110 but feel uncomfortable. Authority checks passed; subjective dissatisfaction does not prove a mandate breach. Merchant return terms and other applicable rights remain relevant. In another outcome, €130 is charged or red shoes are ordered. If the verified order data reveals this, execution should have been rejected. If the order specified green but red shoes arrived, the discrepancy concerns merchant fulfilment. Similar visible outcomes can require different evidence.

4. A dispute needs original approval, constraint version, signature chain, checkout snapshot, validation result, payment receipt and fulfilment or return history. Revoking authority and tokens can stop future operations; completed payments need a separate remedy. Logs should reconstruct the decision without retaining unnecessary personal data. Visa rules, §4.1.24.8 requires the order confirmation to remain available to the cardholder for at least 120 days; this is not a universal retention period for every record.

The example exposes the architecture’s boundary: cryptography can establish which document was approved, and deterministic validation can establish compliance with encoded constraints. Neither proves product quality nor automatically identifies a liable defendant. Those questions depend on substantive obligations and the applicable dispute process.

07

When the seller sells to the agent

An agent can be steered without compromising a payment token. Ranking bias, a compelling badge or merchant text acts earlier, while the cart is being formed. Experiments help locate these weaknesses; they do not measure the share of deceived real-world buyers.

08 · ACES results with models and experimental context

ACES v3 · VLM · mock shopping app

  1. Claude Sonnet 4

    Overall Pick: 24.3%

    Sponsored: 8.9%

  2. GPT-4.1

    Overall Pick: 19.9%

    Sponsored: 8.0%

  3. Gemini 2.5 Flash

    Overall Pick: 42.6%

    Sponsored: 7.9%

ACES v3 study: selection probabilities, baseline 10%. Not sales or direct API.

ACES v3 · VLM · mock shopping appACES v3 · VLM · mock shopping appOverall PickSponsored0%10%20%30%40%50%Claude Sonnet 424.3%8.9%GPT-4.119.9%8.0%Gemini 2.5 Flash42.6%7.9%ACES v3 study: selection probabilities, baseline 10%. Not sales or direct API.

ACES v3 — Table 2: VLM mock shopping app; distinct from headless API

Study
ACES v3: Overall Pick label (Table 2 in the paper)
Setup
VLM mock app; selection baseline 10%
Result
Overall Pick: 24.3 / 19.9 / 42.6%
Limitation
Claude Sonnet 4 / GPT-4.1 / Gemini 2.5 Flash; not live salesACES v3
Study
ACES v3: Sponsored label (Table 2 in the paper)
Setup
Same context and model order
Result
Sponsored: 8.9 / 8.0 / 7.9%
Limitation
Do not combine with the headless API resultsACES v3
Study
Magentic Marketplace: first proposal (Figure 8 in the Microsoft Research post)
Setup
Simulation, model-specific results
Result
First seller: GPT-4o 100%; Claude Sonnet 4.5 93.3%
Limitation
Qwen3-14B: 0% with task failures; not “80–100% for all”Magentic Marketplace
Study
Turan, 2026
Setup
Theoretical fatigue model
Result
An inverted U is possible under the assumptions
Limitation
No measured optimum number of confirmations for a real productTuran

Results from visual-storefront experiments in the ACES study must not be combined with results from its direct API setting. Our table uses only the results for models that read text and images (VLMs). The authors describe those results in Table 2 and its accompanying explanation in version v3 of the paper. Overall Pick increases selection while Sponsored reduces it against the baseline in this setup. Transfer to new models, real inventories or a different choice-set size needs another experiment.

Magentic Marketplace’s first-responder effect varies by model, and task failure must not be interpreted as immunity to bias. A practical evaluation should vary offer order, badges and response delays. Such tests complement authority checks: an agent can make a poor choice while remaining within budget.

OpenAI’s Sponsored Agents announcement describes a different observed format: a person enters a conversation with a brand agent. It does not demonstrate advertising sold to autonomous buyer agents. Paid promotion in machine channels remains a separate forecast. Testing it requires a placement interface, commercial terms and observable effects on agent selection, not merely “agent” in an advertising product’s name.

08

Machine markets: what forecasts measure

Buying an API call and ordering shoes differ in subject matter, fulfilment and potential disputes. A machine payment can buy data or compute, but M2M alone says nothing about delegated authority: software may spend a fixed amount or choose purchases within a budget. Machine settlement is therefore a separate context, not the next autonomy level.

09 · Payment subject and authority are separate axes

What is bought and what is delegated are separate axes

  1. Consumer goods

    Order, delivery, quality

    Approval or standing instruction

  2. Machine resource

    APIs, data, compute

    Fixed authority or a budget

M2M is an application context. A protocol name does not establish market size.

What is bought and what is delegated are separate axesWhat is bought and what is delegated are separate axesConsumer goodsOrder, delivery, qualityApproval or standing instructionMachine resourceAPIs, data, computeFixed authority or a budgetM2M is an application context. A protocol name does not establish market size.

Google Shopping — Agentic checkout: permission before purchase · Amazon · Alexa for Shopping — Auto Buy: target price, 24-hour cancellation, six-month expiry · x402 — Dynamic dashboard: historical values not independently reproduced

An average transaction value needs a consistent numerator and denominator. A historical x402 record contains $24.24 million and 75.41 million operations: for the same period and population, that would yield about $0.3214 per operation. The dynamic dashboard snapshot could not be independently reproduced. The division therefore checks a conditional calculation, not an established market average. A usable estimate needs an archive, window dates, an operation definition and treatment of duplicates or self-payments.

Source
Morgan Stanley
Estimate
$190–385bn
Year, geography, scope
2030 · US · e-commerce through agents
Definition and limitations
Forecast; source-specific coverage and adoption assumptionsMorgan Stanley
Source
Bain
Estimate
$300–500bn
Year, geography, scope
2030 · US · purchases initiated, influenced or completed by AI
Definition and limitations
Includes agent influence; excludes search/discovery-only journeysBain
Source
McKinsey
Estimate
$900bn–1tn; global $3–5tn
Year, geography, scope
2030 · US B2C and, separately, global market
Definition and limitations
Orchestrated revenue: agent participation at different stagesMcKinsey

These are source-authored scenarios, not measured sales. Bain excludes journeys using AI only for search, while including agent influence further along the journey. McKinsey estimates broader agent orchestration. A shared forecast year does not imply a shared methodology. An overall spread is not meaningful without aligning years, geography and definitions.

Missing comparable public volumes mean this source selection cannot reliably establish scale. They do not establish an absent market. A follow-up should separately count AI-assisted recommendations, approved agent checkout, debits without fresh consent and machine resource payments. Otherwise, growing referrals from chat can be mistaken for growth in autonomous payments.

09

What regulators in Russia and elsewhere are discussing

For Russia, distinguish a regulator’s document, proposed infrastructure and a consumer-accessible product. The commercial smart-contract platform concept discusses programmable execution within digital-ruble infrastructure. Sender limits and conditional settlement resemble agent controls conceptually, but are not a complete consent or liability regime for every AI buyer.

There is no basis to claim that standing instructions can appear only after a particular digital-ruble feature: other payment instruments can support them. Nor can willingness surveys or small scenario tests substitute for transaction measurements. Stated intentions do not establish market share, and successful test purchases do not establish volume.

Window
EMVCo
Document status
Draft technical framework
Comment deadline
30 Sep 2026
What the next document may establish
Check final text and change log; deadline does not mean adoptionEMVCo
Window
Bank of Russia · smart contracts
Document status
Discussion paper
Comment deadline
30 Sep 2026
What the next document may establish
Check published responses and status of proposed sender limitsBank of Russia · Smart contracts30.09.2026
Window
HM Treasury
Document status
Payment services consultation
Comment deadline
6 Oct 2026
What the next document may establish
Check government response; Q15 is not a new ruleHM Treasury
Window
Bank of Russia · financial-market strategy
Document status
Draft directions for 2027–2029
Comment deadline
9 Oct 2026
What the next document may establish
Check final document separately from the close of commentsBank of Russia · Financial market 2027–2029

These are four different processes, not four equivalent reforms. At the 27 September check, all listed deadlines were still ahead. They close comments without guaranteeing publication of results that day. Final texts and effective dates require separate analysis; drafts must not be read as adopted requirements.

10

The payment-rights ladder and forecasts

My ladder measures the scope of permitted decisions, from reading to allocating a budget. It is a design tool, not a legal classification or a vendor maturity ranking. One product can operate at different levels for different actions: choosing when to buy autonomously while requiring approval for an address change.

10 · Five authority levels; M2M is a separate context

Levels 0–4: scope of permitted decisions

  1. 0 · Read

    No actions

  2. 1 · Recommend

    Human buys

  3. 2 · Approve

    Google Buy for me

  4. 3 · Instruct

    Amazon Auto Buy

  5. 4 · Budget

    AP2 capability

Author ladder. M2M can use different levels; it is not level 5.

Levels 0–4: scope of permitted decisionsLevels 0–4: scope of permitted decisions0 · ReadNo actions1 · RecommendHuman buys2 · ApproveGoogle Buy for me3 · InstructAmazon Auto Buy4 · BudgetAP2 capabilityAuthor ladder. M2M can use different levels; it is not level 5.

Google Shopping — Agentic checkout: permission before purchase · Amazon · Alexa for Shopping — Auto Buy: target price, 24-hour cancellation, six-month expiry · AP2 Payment Mandate — Constraints: payees, amount, budget, recurrence

Level
0 · Read
Authority
No authority to act
Example or capability
Information collection
Evidence to retain
Sources and access log
Level
1 · Recommend
Authority
Human completes purchase
Example or capability
Suggested cart
Evidence to retain
Proposal and selection rationale
Level
2 · Approved purchase
Authority
Approve a specific order
Example or capability
Google Buy for me; Worldline example
Evidence to retain
Order, approval and receiptGoogleWorldline / ING / Mastercard
Level
3 · Standing instruction
Authority
Predefined trigger
Example or capability
Amazon Auto Buy
Evidence to retain
Condition, trigger, expiry and cancellationAmazon
Level
4 · Budget
Authority
Choose transactions within constraints
Example or capability
AP2 open mandates can carry such constraints
Evidence to retain
Spend ledger, per-operation validation, revocation; specification is not adoption evidenceAP2 Payment

Moving up means making a new delegated decision explicit, rather than merely removing another click. A budget permits choosing multiple transactions and consuming an aggregate balance. That requires cumulative spend checks, not just a per-payment cap. Protocol fields demonstrate that a constraint can be represented; general product availability requires separate evidence.

Author forecast, 27 Sep 2026
Amex launches protection with published terms
Deadline
31 Dec 2027
Confirmation
Confirm: effective terms, launch date and available registration
Refutation / uncertainty
Refute: cancelled or still coming soon at deadline; unavailable evidence → unresolvedAmex
Author forecast, 27 Sep 2026
A generally available consumer level-4 budget launches
Deadline
31 Dec 2028
Confirmation
Confirm: open access and repeated purchases of different items under an aggregate budget without per-purchase approval
Refutation / uncertainty
Refute: repeated catalogue check finds only invitations, pilots or per-purchase approval
Author forecast, 27 Sep 2026
Advertising explicitly targets purchasing agents
Deadline
31 Dec 2028
Confirmation
Confirm: public paid interface promoting offers in an agent-to-merchant channel
Refutation / uncertainty
Refute: verifiable products remain human-facing; lack of revenue disclosure does not refute launch
Author forecast, 27 Sep 2026
A level-3 goods-purchase instruction becomes available in Russia
Deadline
31 Dec 2028
Confirmation
Confirm: published terms and reproducible triggered purchase without fresh approval
Refutation / uncertainty
Refute: checked products require fresh approval; any payment rail is eligible

Product forecasts will be checked against the public pages and terms covered here, plus new launches found in a repeat search. A positive example establishes existence; failure to find one remains a bounded search result. “Unresolved” is therefore necessary alongside confirmation and refutation. Dispute statistics can inform risk assessment but cannot by themselves establish that a product has left its pilot.

The practical result is a verifiable chain: the person understands the boundaries, the system records authority, an independent executor validates the action and the log preserves evidence. Contractual and statutory remedies must be considered separately. The chain makes autonomy inspectable; keeping remedies separate prevents a valid signature from being mistaken for a reimbursement promise.

Takeaways

Seven conclusions on the right to pay

  1. 01The contract binds a person or company. A mandate records what the agent is allowed to do.
  2. 02AP2 v0.2 defines Checkout and Payment, each open or closed. The historical three-mandate description must not be mixed with the current schema.
  3. 03The six fields and levels 0–4 are author design tools. M2M describes a context, not another autonomy level.
  4. 04Payment consent and compensation for the wrong product are separate questions. Payments between the banks are not a buyer refund.
  5. 05Amex protection is announced as a future programme with eligibility conditions. It cannot be promised to every user today.
  6. 06A separate service must check limits before payment. Staying within those limits does not guarantee a good purchase or a refund.
  7. 07Experiments reveal biases under specific conditions. Public data does not establish overall autonomous-purchase volume; this is not proof that the market is absent.
Sources

Network rules, specifications, courts, regulators, studies and evidence boundaries

This bibliography contains sources used in this revision. Links in the text, table rows and figure notes lead to supporting documents, with section or page locators. The historical registry of 586 records remains in the research dossier; its size does not mean every source was rechecked. Unreproduced values and future statuses are identified separately.

Documents and studies

  1. E-SIGN — §7001(h): legal attribution of acts
  2. Amazon v. Perplexity — 4 Aug 2026, p. 17: scope of the CFAA holding
  3. AP2 v0.2 — Mandates: two types, open and closed forms
  4. Google Cloud · AP2 announcement — 17 Sep 2025, How it works: historical intent → cart → payment sequence
  5. AP2 · Implementation Considerations — Mandate Management: management and limited lifetimes; no common revocation mechanism
  6. AP2 Checkout Mandate — Usage; Constraints: merchants and line items
  7. AP2 Payment Mandate — Constraints: payees, amount, budget, recurrence
  8. AP2 Agent Authorization — User Credential / Trusted Agent Provider; Trusted Surface
  9. AP2 Security — Security and Privacy Considerations: verification outside the model
  10. Visa Core Rules, 18.04.2026 — §1.7.6.1: issuer → acquirer; §4.1.24.3–11: agentic payments
  11. Visa Trusted Agent Protocol — HTTP Message Signatures: agent signature, not buyer consent
  12. American Express · Agentic Commerce — Agent Purchase Protection; footnotes: future programme and eligibility
  13. PSD2 — Arts 64, 72–74, 76–77: consent, evidence, refunds
  14. Regulation E — §1005.11: electronic transfer errors
  15. Regulation E · Definitions — §1005.2(m): actual authority and exceptions
  16. Regulation Z — §1026.13: open-end credit billing errors
  17. Directive (EU) 2024/2853 — Recital 24, Arts 6 and 22: damage and application
  18. Worldline / ING / Mastercard — 2 Jun 2026: ticket purchase with human approval
  19. Google Shopping — Agentic checkout: permission before purchase
  20. Amazon · Alexa for Shopping — Auto Buy: target price, 24-hour cancellation, six-month expiry
  21. ACES v3 — Table 2: VLM mock shopping app; distinct from headless API
  22. Microsoft Research · Magentic Marketplace — Figure 8: first-seller share varies by model
  23. Turan · Human oversight model — Theoretical fatigue model, not a user experiment
  24. OpenAI · Reimagining advertising with AI — 16 Sep 2026: a human converses with a brand agent
  25. x402 — Dynamic dashboard: historical values not independently reproduced
  26. Morgan Stanley — US 2030 forecast: $190–385bn agentic e-commerce
  27. Bain · 2030 Forecast — US 2030: $300–500bn; purchases involving or influenced by AI
  28. McKinsey · Agentic commerce opportunity — US B2C 2030: $900bn–1tn; global $3–5tn
  29. HM Treasury · Payment services consultation — Paras 3.30–3.35, Q15; comments by 6 Oct 2026
  30. EMVCo · Agentic payments — 1 Sep 2026: draft, comments by 30 Sep
  31. Bank of Russia · Smart contracts — Sections 2–3: architecture and execution controls; concept, not effective rules
  32. Bank of Russia · Consultation notice — 18 Jun 2026: comments through 30 Sep inclusive
  33. Bank of Russia · Financial market 2027–2029 — Draft: comments by 9 Oct 2026
Next

Related reading

This article continues the review of the agent economy and the trust ladder by action class: there — markets, delegation and read → recommend → act; here — what happens when the action means charging money. The word mandate in the protocols' headings is kept as «mandate» rather than «instruction», to preserve the sense of a document of authority that can be shown to a third party.